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Population Density And Prices

How Much More in the Big City?
by
Robert C. Brenner, MSEE, MSSM


holding the indent For years, I've heard it expressed by small shop owners, But I can't charge THAT MUCH in my area!" Many small business owners feel that their prices should not be as high as other shops, particularly those in the large cities. Most believe that prices are significantly higher in the densely populated areas. I decided to test this hypothesis.

holding the indent To do this, I accessed our company's extensive database of hourly rate pricing data. I wanted answers to two questions:
  1. Are prices substantially different in small towns when compared with large metropolitan areas?
  2. If so, how different are they?

holding the indent I chose as my analysis samples, California and New York, two of the most populated states. I looked at three categories of service: graphic design, desktop publishing, and web site design. About 6,000 pricing points were involved in the analysis. The data for each state was partitioned into four population categories: under 25,000, between 25,000 and 99,999, between 100,000 and 999,999, and those cities with populations 1 million and higher.

holding the indent The statement of hypothesis was "Prices are substantially higher in large metropolitan areas than they are in small towns or rural areas.

holding the indent The small towns in California included Aliso Viejo, Calabasas, Capitola, Dobbins, Fallbrook, Idyllwild, Lakeside, Larkspur, Red Bluff, Trukee and Ukiah among others. Small towns in New York state included Catskill, Cooperstown, East Quogue, Fishkill, Fort Plain, Great Neck Ossining, and Warwick among others. In California, the largest cities are Los Angeles and San Diego. In New York, we have the Bronx, Brooklyn, Manhattan, Queens and New York City. Between these two population extremes, I analyzed a hundred or so other cities with populations in the 25,000-99,999 and 100,000-999,999 categories. Here's what I found:

Small Towns (population <25,000)

holding the indent In the smallest New York towns, graphic design averaged $54.46 an hour. Graphic design averaged $63.78 an hour in California. The typical rate was $50 an hour in New York and $60 an hour in California.

holding the indent Desktop publishing averaged $51.96 an hour in New York and $58.32 an hour in California. The typical rate in New York was $55 an hour. In California, graphic design in the small towns typically costs $60 an hour.

holding the indent Web design averaged $54.72 in New York and $63.33 in California. Table 1 shows this relationship. In both cases, the typical rate was $50 an hour.

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Table 1. Average Hourly Rates (Small Towns)
 New YorkCalifornia
graphic design$54.46$63.78
DTP$51.96$58.32
web design$54.72$63.32

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Small Cities (population 25,000 - 99,999)

holding the indent For these size cities, graphic design in New York averaged $62.50 an hour and $62.55 an hour in California. The typical price was $60 an hour in both states.

holding the indent Desktop publishing averaged $65.71 in New York and $58.30 in California. Again the typical price was $60 an hour in both states.

holding the indent The largest difference occurred in web design services. This work averaged $80.01 an hour in New York and $67.07 an hour in California. Table 2 summarizes this relationship. Web design in small New York cities typically goes for around $85 an hour. In California, the typical rate is $60 an hour.

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Table 2. Average Hourly Rates (Small Cities)
 New YorkCalifornia
graphic design$62.50$62.55
DTP$65.71$58.30
web design$80.01$67.07

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Large Cities (population 100,000 - 999,999)

holding the indent Next I looked at billing rates in the larger cities. The data shows that in this population density, graphic design in New York state goes for an average $46.88 an hour ($50 an hour typical). In California, it averages $66.53 an hour ($65 and hour typical).

holding the indent Desktop publishing averaged $52.73 an hour in New York ($60 an hour typical) and $61.43 an hour in California ($60 an hour typical).

holding the indent The largest price difference in this population category was for web design. In New York, web design services averaged $43.00 an hour ($45 typical). In California, this same service averaged $66.33 an hour ($60 an hour typical). Table 3 summarizes this relationship.

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Table 3. Average Hourly Rates (Large Cities)
 New YorkCalifornia
graphic design$46.88$66.53
DTP$52.73$61.43
web design$43.00$66.33

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Major Metropolitan Cities ( 1 million plus)

holding the indent In this category, I found a reversal in high prices. Graphic design averaged $67.44 an hour in New York state ($60 an hour typical). It averaged $57.25 an hour in California ($60 typical).

holding the indent Desktop publishing averaged $67.79 in New York ($65 an hour typical) and $60.26 in California ($60 an hour typical).

holding the indent Web design averaged $72.92 in New York ($75 typical), but only $61.17 an hour in California ($55 an hour typical). Table 4 summarizes this relationship.

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Table 4. Average Hourly Rates (Major Metropolitan Areas)
 New YorkCalifornia
graphic design$67.44$57.25
DTP$67.79$60.26
web design$72.92$61.17

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holding the indent Next, I compared the average prices for graphic design in all four population densities. Table 5 compares the two states.

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Table 5. Average Hourly Rates (Graphic Design)
 New YorkCalifornia
small town$54.46$63.78
small city$62.50$62.55
large city$46.88$66.53
metropolitan$67.44$57.25

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holding the indent Now it gets interesting. Notice that in New York, the lowest average rates are not in the small towns, but in the large cities. Still, the most expensive work is found in the major metropolitan areas. Not so in California where the highest rate occurs in the large cities (not metropolitan areas). Actually the average price in the largest California cities turned out to be the lowest among all four population densities.

holding the indent For desktop publishing, we find the hourly rates as shown in Table 6, below.

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Table 6. Average Hourly Rates (DTP)
 New YorkCalifornia
small town$51.96$58.32
small city$65.71$58.30
large city$52.73$61.43
metropolitan$67.79$60.26

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Finally, we look at web design service (Table 7)

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Table 7. Average Hourly Rates (Web Design)
 New YorkCalifornia
small town$54.72$63.32
small city$80.01$67.07
large city$43.00$66.32
metropolitan$72.92$61.17

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holding the indent What this data shows is that for graphic design and DTP, prices are higher in the metro areas and larger cities. But the lowest prices are not necessarily found in the smaller cities. Also, no correlation exists in web design pricing relative to population density. For both New York and California, the highest prices were found in the smaller cities. The lowest prices were found in the larger cities and metro areas.

holding the indent Therefore, the hypothesis has been disproved. Pricing is based on a number of factors, and population density appears to be a minor player in the pricing decision. Prices are not significantly higher in the larger cities than in the small towns. Instead, billing rates are based on perceived value and what each market will bear.


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